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Tue, Apr 22, 2025, 9:48 AM 1 min read
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Brendan Smialowski / AFP via Getty Images
Elon Musk at the White House on April 10Looking for a way to trade Tuesday afternoon’s Tesla earnings? You could bet on the stock making a big move—or you could try something a bit weirder: counting Elon Musk’s words.
Prediction markets are offering wagers on a range of Tesla-related (TSLA) outcomes that have little to do with the numbers. At PolyMarket, you can bet on the number of times Musk, the company’s CEO, says certain things during the company’s conference call later today. Options range from “AI” (or “artificial intelligence”) to “MAGA” (or “Make America Great Again”).
The likelihood of the former happening was recently given as 95%, the highest expected odds in the platform’s list, meaning a successful $10 bet would get you $10.11. The latter acronym’s odds were recently 11%, meaning $1 would get you nearly $73. (You also can bet on words like “Trump,” “Mars,” and “inflation.”)
At Kalshi, among other bets, $10 wagered on the chance that any Tesla representative says the word “Roadster” will get you $20.
Investors, meanwhile, expect a substantial move in Tesla's shares in coming days. Wall Street analysts remain divided on their expectations for the electric vehicle maker's results.
Read the original article on Investopedia
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